Football stadium with blue and silver theme
NFL Playoffs 2026

Cowboys Playoff Scenarios: NFC East Chase

Updated January 28, 2026 | NFC East & Wild Card Breakdown

The Dallas Cowboys are fighting for both the NFC East crown and a wild card spot. With a Week 18 showdown against Philadelphia looming, here's everything Dallas needs to secure their playoff position.

Current Playoff Picture

10-5
Current Record
#5
NFC Seed (WC1)

Paths to the Playoffs

Win NFC East

The Cowboys can win the division with:

  • Cowboys WIN @ Eagles (Week 18) + Week 17 WIN, OR
  • Cowboys WIN @ Eagles + Eagles LOSS Week 17

Wild Card Clinch

Dallas clinches a wild card with:

  • Cowboys WIN in any remaining game, OR
  • Commanders LOSS + Seahawks LOSS

The Week 18 Showdown

Everything comes down to the Eagles-Cowboys Week 18 matchup in Philadelphia:

ResultCowboys OutcomeEagles Outcome
Cowboys WINNFC East Champions (if 11-5 or better)Wild Card #5 seed
Eagles WINWild Card #5 seed (locked in)NFC East Champions

Head-to-Head History

The Eagles won the first meeting this season 28-24 in Dallas. Key factors:

  • Saquon Barkley: Rushed for 147 yards against Dallas
  • CeeDee Lamb: 9 catches, 112 yards in losing effort
  • Turnover battle: Dallas committed 3 turnovers
⚠️ Key Stat: The Cowboys are 7-2 on the road this season. Their ability to perform in hostile environments gives them a real shot at stealing the NFC East in Philadelphia.

Wild Card Seeding

If the Cowboys finish as a wild card, their seed matters:

  • #5 seed: Would face #4 seed (likely 49ers) on the road
  • #6 seed: Would face #3 seed (likely Buccaneers) on the road
  • #7 seed: Would face #2 seed (likely Eagles) on the road

Remaining Schedule

  • Week 17: vs Tennessee Titans (Home)
  • Week 18: @ Philadelphia Eagles (Division on the line)

Best Case Scenario

The dream scenario for Cowboys fans:

  1. Beat Titans at home in Week 17
  2. Beat Eagles in Philadelphia Week 18
  3. Win NFC East and host a playoff game
  4. Lions lose to fall from #1, Cowboys rise to #2

This would give Dallas a home playoff game and potentially a first-round bye if everything breaks right.